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    BlackRock's Bitcoin Spot ETF Application: What Does It Mean?

    Market review

    Last week (6.19-6.25),What is the Tether stock code? the entire cryptocurrency market experienced a rare strong rebound.


    Among them, the total market value rose from 1.07 trillion US dollars to 1.19 trillion US dollars, an increase of up to 11%. Correspondingly, market sentiment has shifted from mild panic to mild greed, rising from 46 to 63. Currently, both parameters are approaching their highs for this year.



    Trends of the total market capitalization of crypto and the Fear Greed Index from July 1, 2022 to June 25, 2023; Source: MacroMicro.


    Last week, the overall performance of mainstream coins/tokens showed an upward trend, with nearly a 10% increase for most of them. Among them, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) performed the best, rising by 83.1%; Binance Coin (BNB) went from being the best to the worst, falling by 1.7%.


    Bitcoin (BTC) rose 13.5%, while Ethereum (ETH) rose 9.4% in tandem, with BTC showing stronger performance.


    Fluctuations in major cryptocurrencies from June 19 to June 25, 2023; Source: MacroMicro.


    What does BlackRock's application for a Bitcoin spot ETF actually mean?

    On June 15th, global asset management giant BlackRock submitted an application for a Bitcoin spot ETF to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The product is primarily aimed at institutional investors and will be custodied by Coinbase Custody.


    Source:Bitcoin.com


    After the news spread, it triggered a media frenzy and comments from numerous industry professionals.

    In fact, the application for a BTC spot ETF is not a new thing, as many financial institutions such as Grayscale, WisdomTree, and Invesco have already applied for this product before.

    So why did this event attract people's attention? And what does it mean for ordinary investors?


    As the world's largest asset management company, BlackRock manages assets of nearly $10 trillion, while the entire cryptocurrency market is only around $1 trillion. Once BlackRock successfully enters the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin will gain tremendous liquidity.

    In addition, it will attract more traditional investment institutions to enter, and the entire cryptocurrency market will benefit.


    However, will BlackRock's application be approved? There is a lot of controversy surrounding this, with both positive and negative opinions, and various reasons cited.


    Bloomberg's senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas believes that the Bitcoin spot ETF will be approved by the end of this year (2023).


    From a historical perspective, analysts have analyzed that the SEC has approved over 500 ETFs launched by BlackRock, with only one rejection in 2014, resulting in an approval rate of nearly 100%.

    There is a view that, unlike Grayscale, BlackRock has introduced a redemption mechanism that resolves regulatory sharing agreement issues and ensures that the custodian and trustee of client funds operate independently. All of these are in line with SEC requirements.

    People who hold a negative view believe that the SEC has rejected BTC spot ETFs numerous times without exception, and this time will be no different.

    There is another attitude that is ambiguous, such as Gregory Johnson, CEO of Rubicon Crypto. He expresses a cautious attitude towards the possibility of BlackRock obtaining approval for its ETF in the near future.

    Mitrade analyst: Regardless of their positive or negative attitude, people hope that the SEC will approve BlackRock's proposed BTC spot ETF, which could bring cryptocurrencies out of the bear market.

    However, the market cannot control whether it is passed or not, and it can only be decided by the SEC.

    For ordinary investors, the most important thing is to seize the current market situation. As long as the result is not announced, institutional bullish sentiment will not easily disappear, and this is a relatively good opportunity.


    Bitcoin: Holding the $30,000 level could lead to a potential new high


    On June 20th, Bitcoin broke through a downtrend channel with a large bullish candle and continued to rebound, reversing the pullback trend. On June 23rd, it reached a new high of $31,400 in 2023. Since then, it has fallen for three consecutive days to around $30,000, accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating stronger selling pressure at that level.


    Bitcoin price trend from May 2022 to present; Source: TradingView.


    Mitrade analyst: $30,000 will be a crucial support level for Bitcoin's trend in the latter half of the year.


    If held, there is a high probability of continued rebound towards $35,000. If broken, it will likely head straight to $25,000.


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